Tag Archives: behavioural science

Behavioural Science Comes of Age

I remember when behavioural economics was the clever bloke at the party. Late 2000s. Slightly rumpled like its genial flag bearer, Rory Sutherland1. Saying interesting things while everyone else was still banging on about best practice.

And as a one-time Psych grad, I swallowed it whole. Loss aversion, scarcity, social proof, that small but seemingly ever-growing catalogue of cognitive quirks that explained why perfectly rational adults turned into anxious pigeons the moment you asked them to choose between two identical hotel rooms.

Then I did what most of us early adopters did. I took those ideas and applied them to all the booking flows, creating a second layer of UX and UI polish. “Only two rooms left!” “Five people are looking at this right now.” Little interruptions multiply in the corners and the shouty bits of the checkout. I told myself it was science. But mostly it was just persuasion dressed up in pseudo-academic language.

And the internet did what the internet does. It copied and pasted the same mechanics and ran them into the ground. More fake scarcity. Countdown timers. Urgency theatre. Some of this was just cheeky pestering, the digital equivalent of a shop assistant hovering, but plenty of it crossed a line into deception: designed to manufacture urgency, hide real costs, or make ‘no’ harder than it has any right to be. That was a dishonesty that’s technically deniable but emotionally obvious. Users learned the patterns, practitioners got squeamish. Behavioural’ became shorthand for ‘manipulative’, and anything adjacent to nudging got lumped in with deceptive patterns, née dark patterns2, for reasons that still feel faintly performative. Sometimes these labels were applied fairly, sometimes lazily.

Meanwhile, Rory didn’t really change. The medium did. His style, heavily anecdotal, contrarian, the world slightly upside down, really suited the algorithmic churn of social feeds far better than it ever suited a conference room. And irritatingly, he’s still right about a few core things: humans are not neat rationalists; context does more work than features; and the “obvious” fix is often the wrong one.

So you end up with this weird stalemate. Practitioners don’t want to touch behavioural ideas because the last decade trained them to associate them with cheap tricks. Users don’t trust anything that looks like psychological leverage. Theorists keep publishing, but the bridge from theory to design practice is messy and full of bad incentives.

So, herewith the awkward admission: I still use behavioural thinking constantly. I just don’t tend to label it. If you’ve worked on complex journeys, you can’t avoid it. Sequencing, defaults, framing, expectation-setting, reassurance, when to show less rather than more, darling, that’s all behavioural design, whether you call it that or pretend you’re simply reducing friction.

Ergo, the real problem is where in the journey it got applied. When behavioural economics becomes synonymous with end-of-funnel UI hacks, it’ll always feel grubby, because there it’s operating at the point of maximum vulnerability and minimum patience. To the numbers-fixated, that’s exactly where the temptation to push is strongest, and where user suspicion is most justified.

I think we should want to bridge the 15-year gap to the bigger ideas, and the way back is boring, structural, and I hope therefore, credible.

Firstly, move it upstream. Use behavioural insight to shape the service and the whole journey, not just the microcopy. If the product is confusing, no amount of “Only 2 left” pop-ups will rescue it. If the decision is overloaded with complexity, the win is reducing the choice set, clarifying trade-offs, and placing reassurance where anxiety is highest. That’s judgement, not sleight of hand.

Take the UK’s driving-test booking fiasco: on paper it’s “too much demand”, but behaviourally it’s an uncertainty machine that turns normal people into refresh-addicts and slot-hoarders, so it’s hardly surprising when a grey market blooms. When a system is opaque, time-bound, and framed as a win/lose binary (a slot exists or it doesn’t), you don’t get compliant queueing; you get panic economics: people book anything anywhere “just in case”, cling to dates they’re not ready for (because letting go feels like falling off a cliff), and outsource hope to various apps and bots.

The upstream fix is to stop rewarding speed and start redesigning allocation: move away from pure first-come-first-served and into a batch or lottery mechanism that collects requests over a window and allocates oversubscribed slots randomly, with cancellations rolling into the next batch so you can’t transfer a slot by cancelling and instantly rebooking under someone else’s name. Theory and lab evidence from market-design work on appointment booking shows this structure makes scalping unprofitable because speed stops being the advantage. Add a small, refundable booking deposit (say £5–£10, returned on attendance or timely cancellation) to put a bit of skin in the game without pricing people out, and you’ve damped the casual “book three and see what happens” behaviour that also fuels the chaos. Then fold in DVSA’s change limit (two changes per booking, including swaps) and the restriction on moving test centres, but actually explain these rules inside the journey so learners don’t experience it as punitive post-facto. Once people can predict the system and trust that releasing a slot doesn’t reset their entire life, the gaming collapses under its own boredom; you don’t need scarcity theatre when you’ve fixed the incentives. See, no need to go crazy in Figma.

Secondly, be explicit about ethics. Not an intention or vibes, the actual lines: what behaviour you’re trying to encourage, who benefits, and what the failure state looks like if it works too well. If you can’t say “this benefits the user” without shifting awkwardly in your Herman-Miller, you’ve learned something useful.

Thirdly: replace the anecdote-as-proof culture with evidence that doesn’t insult anyone (this one’s the hardest for me, I love an anecdote). Small experiments tied to meaningful outcomes. Clear reporting. A willingness to bin interventions that, whilst driving short-term conversion, corrode customer trust. Most teams simply need permission to run proper tests and speak plainly about consequences.

Of course, we never stopped shaping behaviour, we simply got self-conscious about admitting we did. The route back is behavioural thinking with its assumptions stated, its trade-offs owned, and its use grounded in real user conditions; people don’t need to be told “nudges are good” in 2026.

My thanks to Tom Harle for the original provocation.

AI: I used AI for the tags, the excerpt, and a light sub-edit. The ideas, references, observations, and anecdotes are mine.

  1. To be clear: Rory didn’t originate behavioural economics. He became its most visible adland interpreter, a jolly and witty TED-friendly translator of work done by Kahneman/Tversky, Thaler, Sunstein, and others. ↩︎
  2. Dark Patterns were coined by Harry Brignull, who gets too little credit for it. ↩︎

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The Cost of Looking Away

A dimly lit London Underground station entrance at street level in the early evening. A rental e-bike is on its side across the grimy pavement in the foreground. In the background, a young man in casual streetwear jumps over a fare gate. Other commuters in the background are looking away. The scene has a cinematic, slightly desaturated look. You can see wear on the station barriers and a faded "Be Kind to Staff" poster.

The real scandal isn’t the kid hopping the Tube barrier. It’s the fact no one even looks up.

London’s decline into low-level disorder hasn’t happened overnight, and it hasn’t happened through some grand cultural collapse. It’s been a slow demagnetising of civic expectation, one graffitied carriage, one dumped rental bike, one unchallenged fare-dodger at a time.

And for all the commentary, the plans, the posters, the social media pleas from Sadiq Khan gently asking us to be kind to TfL staff, the system continues to fray. Because it’s not just about policy. It’s about psychology. A city, like a child, becomes what you quietly tolerate.

Take a stroll through Camden. Or Putney. Or Vauxhall, or Shepherds Bush. It’s not just the spike in phone thefts or fare evasion. It’s the collective flinch away from even acknowledging it. Authority is outsourced, first to security guards who are contractually told not to intervene, then to CCTV operators watching with all the urgency of a screensaver. The presence of order exists only in post-event paperwork.

This isn’t a new problem. Every generation thinks it invented disorder. But what marks this moment is the collapse of presence. The people who once embodied low-stakes authority – ticket inspectors, bus conductors, even the occasional stern-faced commuter, have all retreated. And without those micro-moments of correction, the boundary dissolves.

Because there was a time, not utopia, not Victoriana, just the mid-2000s, when the Tube was cleaner, antisocial behaviour meant something, and fare dodgers looked over their shoulders. And crucially, someone would have said something if you left your bike in the middle of the pavement.

Now? Saying something feels like an act of madness.

Even a relatively fit man in his forties (ahem, let’s say one with the outline of muscle memory from rowing and once-upon a time lifting in the gym) thinks twice. Not because he’s afraid of being shouted at. Because he might get stabbed. Not metaphorically. Actually stabbed. By a 14-year-old with a 9-inch blade and nothing to lose.

So we look away. We (not I, reader) film instead of act. We turn up the headphones and pretend not to see. Because the calculus has changed. What used to be a moment of friction – “Oi, pack it in” – has become an existential risk assessment. Is this worth dying over?

Yes, austerity hollowed out visible staffing. But not every act of disrespect can be blamed on poverty. You can’t say the teenager in £100 sliders and a Balenciaga hoodie is evading the fare because the system failed him. Nor that the grad in Clapham dumping a Lime bike across the pavement is a victim of systemic neglect.

This isn’t all about deprivation. It’s about detachment. From consequence. From collective norms. From the sense that shared space has shared rules.

So what do we do? Because the answer isn’t doubling police numbers or shaming people on social media. Culture doesn’t change through crackdowns. And civic behaviour isn’t restored by a stronger PR campaign.

You don’t police culture. You design for it.

London’s problem isn’t just one of law or design, it’s one of contrast. As other towns and smaller cities have quietly levelled up, the capital has coasted on past prestige. Behavioural standards lag not because Londoners are worse, but because London is no longer best. The Tube is better, but the civic fabric? Worn thin. What once justified the stress (the vibrancy, the culture, the sheer aliveness) now feels out of balance. You dodge fare evaders and dumped e-bikes, but for what? A Pret subscription and an off-peak West End ticket? Meanwhile, Sheffield has sourdough, Manchester has swagger, and Kent has all the ex-London chefs who could no longer justify paying £3,500 a month to fry mushrooms near a bin store.

That’s where behavioural science (and, yes, some gentle psyops) comes in.

Behaviour is context-dependent. What people do in public space is shaped by cues, affordances, and social norms more than personal ethics. If the system is designed to look away, people will act accordingly. So design it to notice. Design it to remind. Design it to suggest.

This doesn’t mean building a digital panopticon. We already have that. London has more CCTV coverage per square inch than any city outside China. But the surveillance is abstract, remote. We’re watched, but not seen. There’s no friction. No microdose of shame. No moment of hesitation.

What we need to rebuild is civic equivalent of a raised eyebrow.

Start small. Use nudges that aren’t insulting. Place messages where norms are breached, not in corporate safe zones. A sign at the Tube barrier isn’t for the person tapping in, it’s for the kid about to hop it. Use tone accordingly.

Bring back the sense of being noticed. Not punished. Not tracked. Just observed.

We could do worse than call in Rory Sutherland and a few behavioural strategists with teeth. The work they’ve done on transport psychology (understanding how we navigate space, status, and visibility) is ripe for civic deployment.

Imagine a pilot scheme on the Bakerloo Line that doesn’t install more barriers, but changes the posture of the space. Mirrors. Eye-level signage. Floor friction that makes hopping awkward. Subtle lighting changes that simulate visibility. Staff trained not to chase, but to notice.

We could run this for twenty years. Quietly. Iteratively. Without press releases.

The point isn’t to eliminate every act of disorder. It’s to rebuild a culture that expects better.

Because somewhere along the line, shame became taboo. Correction became aggression. We outsourced authority to laminated posters and video cameras and hoped it would be enough. It wasn’t.

Civilisation is not a vibe. It’s a ritual.

And it’s time we noticed what we’re no longer willing to defend.

AI disclosure: AI used to sub-edit the copy and perform factual research which was cross-referenced manually. AI generated the image (obviously), excerpt and tag list to enhance exposure.

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